Thanks to the evolution of the Customer Relationship Management (CRM) practices and related software, we've made great strides over the past twenty years in the ability to forecast sales results with greater accuracy. We can look at where we feel clients are in the sales process and assign them a percentage of close (i.e. 25%, 50%, 75%) and then put that percentage in our CRM and run all sorts of reports.
There is, however, still one glaring fly in the ointment -- salespeople and not clients are deciding what that percentage should be.
When the forecasting process is done by sellers it's a little like weather forecasting being done by someone planning a picnic. I want it to be nice on Saturday, so I've decided the forecast will be sunny skies and only a 10% chance of rain! Now a Meteorologist, after studying the conditions in the atomoshere, may have a different take -- sorry, all the current weather data, along with the history of weather patterns, is telling us the actual chance of rain is about 90%.
Sorry...there will be no picnic!
Same with sales. If it's left for salespeople to guess as to where a particular sale may be, they have a tendency to be somewhat self-deceiving based on how badly they want or need to make a sale.
Here are some reasons salespeople tend to over-inflate opportunities:
- They start telling everyone about these opportunities early on, making them sound bigger than they are. So, they have to keep the lie going by continuing to up the percentage of close...
- They tend to form blind crushes on these opportunities...when we get crushes, we become so enamored with the other person we can't see that she's changed her locks, and put out a restraining order on us...
- They suffer from massive call reluctance and can't stand the thought of finding new prospects to take this one's place, so they keep the allusion alive (we could call these the "Weekend at Bernie's" prospects)...
- They want to look good to the boss and to the rest of the sales team -- yep, no need to worry, I've got LOTS going on here...
The way to stop all this is to simply have clients do the forecasting, based on the attainment of mini-steps! For example, if you have 10 steps, assign a "percentage of close" based on the attainment of those steps...if he does these 5 things, he's at 50%...if he does these 9 things, he's at 90%.
LET THE CLIENT SHOW US WHERE THEY ARE VS RELYING ON OUR "GUT FEEL"!
We've all probably experienced the heartache of watching a once "full" pipeline suddenly empty just as we're ready to go to the bank with the money. Sort of like that picnic planner waking up that Saturday morning, ready to go out and have a great time, only to hear the sounds of a steady rain and see dark, gloomy skies overhead.
GB